Two players, one answer.
AJ Barner vs Zach Ertz
This week
No call this week: one of them has no game or a projection under 4 points
Rest of season
AJ Barner by 3% (Redraft half PPR)Dynasty
AJ Barner by 96% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · Half PPR · 82% held up in 2025
Start AJ Barner
On Sleeper's projections, AJ Barner is projected 6.8 points ahead of Zach Ertz. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 82% of the time.
TE · SEA
AJ Barner
6.8 projected
vs CHI · Mon 8:15 PM ET
4.9 a game this season · last 3: 3.5, 3.1, 6.6
TE · PHI
Zach Ertz
— final · points pending · 0.0 projected
@ WAS · Sun 8:20 PM ET
1.2 a game this season · last 3: 1.4, 2.3, 0
- Zach Ertz's game has already kicked off, so most platforms have locked him in or out for this week.
What the call rests on
- AJ Barner: Sleeper's projection, last changed Mon, Nov 2, 12:30 PM ET
- Zach Ertz: Sleeper's projection
- Sleeper's projections read Mon, Nov 2, 12:41 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Mon, Nov 2, 12:41 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Barner | Ertz |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 8.4 | 0 |
| Half PPR | 6.8 | 0 |
| Standard | 5.2 | 0 |
What could change it before kickoff
- Zach Ertz plays first (Sun 8:20 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before AJ Barner's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Half PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.