Two players, one answer.
Amar Johnson vs Tai Felton
This week
No call this week: one of them has no game or a projection under 4 points
Rest of season
Amar Johnson by 26% (Redraft half PPR)Dynasty
Amar Johnson by 5% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · Half PPR · 56% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Tai Felton is projected 1.2 points ahead of Amar Johnson. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 56% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · MIN
Tai Felton
1.2 projected
vs BUF · Mon 8:15 PM ET
1.4 a game this season · last 3: 1.9, 3.7, 0
RB · LAC
Amar Johnson
0.0 projected
vs HOU · Sun 4:05 PM ET
No games this season
What the call rests on
- Tai Felton: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 11:30 PM ET
- Amar Johnson: Sleeper's projection
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Nov 3, 11:42 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Tue, Nov 3, 11:42 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Felton | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 1.5 | 0 |
| Half PPR | 1.2 | 0 |
| Standard | 0.9 | 0 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 1.2 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Amar Johnson plays first (Sun 4:05 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Tai Felton's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Half PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.