Two players, one answer.

Caleb Williams vs Trevor Lawrence

Any format · Week 8 start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Week 8 · PPR · 70% held up in 2025

Lean Trevor Lawrence

On Sleeper's projections, Trevor Lawrence is projected 5 points ahead of Caleb Williams. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 70% of the time. A lean, not a lock.

QB · JAX

Trevor Lawrence

20.7 projected

vs IND · Sun 1:00 PM ET

19.7 a game this season · last 3: 13.1, 22.7, 28.3

QB · CHI

Caleb Williams

15.7 projected

@ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM ET

21.2 a game this season · last 3: 8.7, 16.5, 22.1

What the call rests on

  • Trevor Lawrence: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 12:50 PM ET
  • Caleb Williams: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 12:50 PM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Tue, Oct 27, 1:09 PM ET.
  • Injury statuses: Sleeper's player list, read Tue, Oct 27, 9:01 AM ET (once a day). Game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, come after it.

What could change it before kickoff

  • Trevor Lawrence plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Caleb Williams's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.