Two players, one answer.
Case Keenum vs Nate Adkins
Any league · this week start/sit · Half PPR
Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)
This week
No call this week: one of them has no game or a projection under 4 points
Rest of season
Nate Adkins by 6% (Redraft half PPR)Dynasty
Case Keenum by 47% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · Half PPR · 57% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Nate Adkins is projected 1.4 points ahead of Case Keenum. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 57% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
TE · DEN
Nate Adkins
7.4 final · 1.4 projected
vs KC · Sun 4:25 PM ET
6.5 a game this season · last 3: 11.3, 7.3, 7.4
QB · CHI
Case Keenum
0.0 projected
@ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM ET
13.1 a game this season · last 2: 24.5, 1.7
- Nate Adkins's game has already kicked off, so most platforms have locked him in or out for this week.
What the call rests on
- Nate Adkins: Sleeper's projection, last changed Mon, Nov 2, 10:40 AM ET
- Case Keenum: Sleeper's projection
- Sleeper's projections read Mon, Nov 2, 10:40 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Mon, Nov 2, 10:40 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Adkins | Keenum |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 1.8 | 0 |
| Half PPR | 1.4 | 0 |
| Standard | 1.1 | 0 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 1.4 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Nate Adkins plays first (Sun 4:25 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Case Keenum's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Half PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.