Two players, one answer.

Isaiah Bond vs Marcus Mariota

Any league · this week start/sit · Standard

Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)

Isaiah Bond · Marcus Mariota

Week 8 · Standard · 54% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Isaiah Bond is projected 0.8 points ahead of Marcus Mariota. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 54% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

WR · CLE

Isaiah Bond

— final · points pending · 0.8 projected

@ PIT · Sun 1:00 PM ET

2.9 a game this season · last 3: 1, 0.2, 7.4

QB · WAS

Marcus Mariota

0.0 projected

vs PHI · Sun 8:20 PM ET

11.5 a game this season · last 3: 8.7, 20.4, 5.3

What the call rests on

  • Isaiah Bond: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 9:30 PM ET
  • Marcus Mariota: Sleeper's projection
  • Sleeper's projections read Sun, Nov 1, 9:36 PM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Sun, Nov 1, 9:36 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredBondMariota
PPR1.20
Half PPR10
Standard0.80

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 0.8 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Isaiah Bond plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Marcus Mariota's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Standard settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.