Two players, one answer.
Ja'Kobi Lane vs Ted Hurst III
This week
No call this week: one of them has no game or a projection under 4 points
Rest of season
About even (Redraft half PPR)Dynasty
Ted Hurst III by 5% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · Half PPR · 52% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Ted Hurst III is projected 0.4 points ahead of Ja'Kobi Lane. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · TB
Ted Hurst III
4.1 projected
@ CHI · Sun 8:20 PM ET
4 a game this season · last 3: 5.5, 0, 0
WR · BAL
Ja'Kobi Lane
3.7 projected
vs JAX · Thu 8:15 PM ET
3.4 a game this season · last 3: 6, 4, 1.8
What the call rests on
- Ted Hurst III: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Nov 4, 7:40 AM ET
- Ja'Kobi Lane: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Nov 4, 7:40 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Wed, Nov 4, 7:47 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Wed, Nov 4, 7:47 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | III | Lane |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 4.8 | 4.9 |
| Half PPR | 4.1 | 3.7 |
| Standard | 3.3 | 2.6 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.4 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In ppr scoring the call goes the other way: Ja'Kobi Lane 4.9, Ted Hurst III 4.8.
- Ja'Kobi Lane plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Ted Hurst III's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Half PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.