Two players, one answer.
Jackson Hawes vs Tyson Bagent
Any league · this week start/sit · Standard
Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)
This week
No call this week: one of them has no game or a projection under 4 points
Rest of season
Jackson Hawes by 95% (Redraft standard)Dynasty
Jackson Hawes by 4% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · Standard · 53% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Jackson Hawes is projected 0.5 points ahead of Tyson Bagent. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 53% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
TE · BUF
Jackson Hawes
— final · points pending · 0.5 projected
vs BAL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
0 a game this season · last 1: 0
QB · CHI
Tyson Bagent
0.0 projected
@ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM ET
5.1 a game this season · last 3: 2.2, 9.8, 3.2
- Jackson Hawes's game has already kicked off, so most platforms have locked him in or out for this week.
What the call rests on
- Jackson Hawes: Sleeper's projection, last changed Mon, Nov 2, 1:30 AM ET
- Tyson Bagent: Sleeper's projection
- Sleeper's projections read Mon, Nov 2, 1:38 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Mon, Nov 2, 1:38 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Hawes | Bagent |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 0.8 | 0 |
| Half PPR | 0.7 | 0 |
| Standard | 0.5 | 0 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.5 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Jackson Hawes plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Tyson Bagent's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Standard settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.