Two players, one answer.
Jalen Tolbert vs Mitchell Evans
Any league · this week start/sit · Half PPR
Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)
This week
No call this week: one of them has no game or a projection under 4 points
Rest of season
Mitchell Evans by 34% (Redraft half PPR)Dynasty
About even (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · Half PPR · 54% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Mitchell Evans is projected 0.8 points ahead of Jalen Tolbert. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 54% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
TE · CAR
Mitchell Evans
3.2 final · 1.4 projected
@ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ET
2.5 a game this season · last 3: 0.1, 4.9, 3.2
WR · MIA
Jalen Tolbert
0.6 projected
vs NE · Sun 4:25 PM ET
1.4 a game this season · last 2: 0, 2.7
- Their games have already kicked off, so most platforms have locked them in or out for this week.
What the call rests on
- Mitchell Evans: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 6:30 PM ET
- Jalen Tolbert: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 6:30 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Sun, Nov 1, 6:36 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Sun, Nov 1, 6:36 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Evans | Tolbert |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Half PPR | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Standard | 1 | 0.4 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.8 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Mitchell Evans plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Jalen Tolbert's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Half PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.