Two players, one answer.

John Metchie III vs Marvin Mims Jr.

Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)

John Metchie III · Marvin Mims Jr.

Week 8 · PPR · 54% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Marvin Mims Jr. is projected 0.8 points ahead of John Metchie III. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 54% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

WR · DEN

Marvin Mims Jr.

4.8 projected

vs KC · Sun 4:25 PM ET

2.8 a game this season · last 3: 2.9, 3.3, 7.6

WR · CAR

John Metchie III

4.4 final · 4.0 projected

@ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ET

4.9 a game this season · last 3: 4.4, 4, 4.4

What the call rests on

  • Marvin Mims Jr.: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sat, Oct 31, 4:20 AM ET
  • John Metchie III: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sat, Oct 31, 4:20 AM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Sat, Oct 31, 4:27 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Sat, Oct 31, 4:27 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredJr.III
PPR4.84
Half PPR3.93.2
Standard2.92.4

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 0.8 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • John Metchie III plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Marvin Mims Jr.'s late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.