Two players, one answer.

Keaton Mitchell vs Zavion Thomas

Any league · this week start/sit · Standard

Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)

Keaton Mitchell · Zavion Thomas

Week 8 · Standard · 65% held up in 2025

Lean Keaton Mitchell

On Sleeper's projections, Keaton Mitchell is projected 2.8 points ahead of Zavion Thomas. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 65% of the time. A lean, not a lock.

RB · LAC

Keaton Mitchell

4.6 projected

@ LAR · Sun 4:05 PM ET

4.2 a game this season · last 3: 6.3, 2.9, 0.4

WR · CHI

Zavion Thomas

1.8 projected

@ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM ET

0.8 a game this season · last 3: 2.2, 2.5, 0

What the call rests on

  • Keaton Mitchell: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 6:30 PM ET
  • Zavion Thomas: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 6:30 PM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Sun, Nov 1, 6:36 PM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Sun, Nov 1, 6:36 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredMitchellThomas
PPR5.82.8
Half PPR5.22.3
Standard4.61.8

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 2.8 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Keaton Mitchell plays first (Sun 4:05 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Zavion Thomas's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Standard settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.