Two players, one answer.
Luke McCaffrey vs Tyson Bagent
Any league · this week start/sit · Standard
Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)
This week
No call this week: one of them has no game or a projection under 4 points
Rest of season
Luke McCaffrey by 88% (Redraft standard)Dynasty
About even (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · Standard · 51% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Luke McCaffrey is projected 0.3 points ahead of Tyson Bagent. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 51% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · WAS
Luke McCaffrey
0.3 projected
vs PHI · Sun 8:20 PM ET
0 a game this season · last 3: 0, 0, 0
QB · CHI
Tyson Bagent
0.0 projected
@ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM ET
5.1 a game this season · last 3: 2.2, 9.8, 3.2
- Luke McCaffrey's game has already kicked off, so most platforms have locked him in or out for this week.
What the call rests on
- Luke McCaffrey: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 9:30 PM ET
- Tyson Bagent: Sleeper's projection
- Sleeper's projections read Sun, Nov 1, 9:36 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Sun, Nov 1, 9:36 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | McCaffrey | Bagent |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 0.4 | 0 |
| Half PPR | 0.3 | 0 |
| Standard | 0.3 | 0 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.3 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Luke McCaffrey plays first (Sun 8:20 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Tyson Bagent's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Standard settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.