Two players, one answer.
Luther Burden III vs Rashee Rice
This week
Toss-up · 12.6 to 12.3 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Rashee Rice by 36% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
About even (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 51% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Rashee Rice is projected 0.3 points ahead of Luther Burden III. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 51% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · KC
Rashee Rice
12.6 projected
@ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ETQuestionable
12.7 a game this season · last 3: 9.9, 12.3, 15.8
WR · CHI
Luther Burden III
12.3 projected
@ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM ET
13.9 a game this season · last 3: 8.9, 17.5, 23.7
- Rashee Rice is questionable. The projection assumes he plays; if he's ruled out, the next player up is the call.
What the call rests on
- Rashee Rice: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 1:10 PM ET
- Luther Burden III: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 1:10 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Thu, Oct 29, 1:11 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Thu, Oct 29, 1:11 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Rice | III |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 12.6 | 12.3 |
| Half PPR | 10.4 | 10 |
| Standard | 8.1 | 7.6 |
What could change it before kickoff
- Rashee Rice's status (questionable): if he's ruled out, Luther Burden III is the start.
- A projection update of 0.3 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Rashee Rice plays first (Sun 4:25 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Luther Burden III's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.