Two players, one answer.
Marcus Mariota vs Matt Hibner
Any league · this week start/sit · Half PPR
Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)
This week
No call this week: one of them has no game or a projection under 4 points
Rest of season
Matt Hibner by 58% (Redraft half PPR)Dynasty
Marcus Mariota by 33% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · Half PPR · 61% held up in 2025
Lean Matt Hibner
On Sleeper's projections, Matt Hibner is projected 2.4 points ahead of Marcus Mariota. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 61% of the time. A lean, not a lock.
TE · BAL
Matt Hibner
— final · points pending · 2.4 projected
@ BUF · Sun 1:00 PM ET
5.2 a game this season · last 3: 1.8, 9.3, 4.4
QB · WAS
Marcus Mariota
0.0 projected
vs PHI · Sun 8:20 PM ET
11.5 a game this season · last 3: 8.7, 20.4, 5.3
- Their games have already kicked off, so most platforms have locked them in or out for this week.
What the call rests on
- Matt Hibner: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 11:30 PM ET
- Marcus Mariota: Sleeper's projection
- Sleeper's projections read Sun, Nov 1, 11:37 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Sun, Nov 1, 11:37 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Hibner | Mariota |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 2.9 | 0 |
| Half PPR | 2.4 | 0 |
| Standard | 1.8 | 0 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 2.4 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Matt Hibner plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Marcus Mariota's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Half PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.