News & Analysis · Analysis · Data as of Nov 3, 2026
Week 9 start/sit: when PPR changes the answer
Tyler Allgeier drops 6 places among backs when catches don't count, one of 4 players who cross the illustrative 12-team starter line depending on scoring. The head-to-head that flips: Trey McBride or George Kittle.
By Swindlr · · Sources & methodology
Projections and statuses below are as of Nov 3, 2026 and change until kickoff. Current outlook: Tyler Allgeier · Trey McBride · George Kittle
The short answer
What happened: Sleeper's week 9 projections put 4 players inside a typical 12-team lineup in one scoring and outside it in the other, depending on whether your league counts catches.
Who's affected: in PPR, Tyler Allgeier (RB23) and T.J. Hockenson (TE12) are starters who drop out in standard; in standard, J.K. Dobbins (RB24) and Dallas Goedert (TE12) move in instead.
What it means for week 9: check your league's scoring before you set these spots. The head-to-head that flips: start Trey McBride in PPR and George Kittle in standard, and George Kittle in half PPR. None of these is a clear call in any scoring.
Still uncertain: projections change until kickoff. Most of these are close calls in both scorings: the scoring tips the order more than it makes a start obvious.
Opens Who should I start? with Trey McBride and George Kittle in standard scoring, on current projections: switch the scoring to match your league, and add the players you're choosing between.
The biggest mover
Tyler Allgeier projects for 11.3 points in PPR, RB23 at his position, and 7.8 in standard, RB29. His 3.5 projected catches carry him in PPR, and standard scoring doesn't count them.
Who crosses the line
| Player | PPR | Half PPR | Standard | Projected catches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Allgeier | RB23 · 11.3 | RB23 · 9.5 | RB29 · 7.8 | 3.5 |
| J.K. Dobbins | RB27 · 10.0 | RB26 · 9.2 | RB24 · 8.3 | 1.7 |
| T.J. Hockenson | TE12 · 10.5 | TE12 · 8.2 | TE15 · 6.0 | 4.5 |
| Dallas Goedert | TE15 · 9.4 | TE15 · 7.7 | TE12 · 6.1 | 3.3 |
Rank at his position and projected points. Projected catches are PPR minus standard, as shown; half PPR counts half of them. The line (RB24, WR30, TE12) is illustrative: where a league's starters end depends on its lineup and how its flex spots get used.
How close these are
Check your league's scoring before you set these spots. In PPR, Tyler Allgeier (RB23) and T.J. Hockenson (TE12) sit inside the illustrative 12-team starter line and fall outside it in standard; in standard, J.K. Dobbins (RB24) and Dallas Goedert (TE12) move inside instead. The line is a cutoff for illustration (RB24, WR30, TE12); your league's lineup and flex move it, not the order.
These are close calls either way: all 4 sit near enough to the line that, against the nearest player across it, a gap that size has gone the higher projection's way less than 58% of the time in both PPR and standard. The scoring tips the order; it rarely makes a start obvious.
The head-to-head that flips: in PPR, Trey McBride projects 0.5 points ahead of George Kittle, a toss-up (52%); in half PPR, George Kittle leads by 0.5, a toss-up (53%); in standard, George Kittle is 1.5 ahead, a lean (59%). No scoring makes it a clear call. Sleeper's projections as of Nov 3, 10:20 a.m. ET.
The head-to-heads that flip
These pairs play the same position, and the better start depends on your league's scoring. The percentages are how often the higher projection has outscored the lower one with a gap that size, on Sleeper's 2025 weekly projections, fitted separately for PPR, half PPR and standard (the calibration Who should I start? uses).
| In PPR, start | In standard, start | PPR call | Half PPR call | Standard call |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey McBride (+0.5) | George Kittle (+1.5) | 52%, toss-up | George Kittle, 53% | 59%, lean |
Each call opens the start/sit tool with both players in that scoring, on current projections. See current projections for Trey McBride and George Kittle.
- Trey McBride · PPR15.3
- Trey McBride · Std8.4
- George Kittle · PPR14.8
- George Kittle · Std9.9
Why the order changes
The players inside the line only in PPR are projected for 4.0 catches on average; those inside only in standard, 2.5. Standard scoring doesn't count catches, so the yards and touchdowns behind the second group carry more weight there. Half PPR counts half of each catch, and 4 of the 4 players above land on the PPR side of the line in half PPR. These are one-week lineup calls: Swindlr's season-long values don't use a single week's projection.
Next step: Check your own lineup in your scoring →
Sources & methodology
Automatically generated analysis using the sources and data listed below. Not individually reviewed by a human.
- Sleeper's week 9 projections · Sleeper · retrieved Nov 3, 2026, 10:20 a.m. ET
Data as of Nov 3, 2026. Data as of Nov 3, 2026, 10:20 a.m. ET.
How this was put together
Sleeper's projected stat lines for week 9 (as of Nov 3, 10:20 a.m. ET), scored by Swindlr in PPR, half PPR and standard, ranked within each position among players expected to play. The chances come from Swindlr's fit of how often the higher projection outscored the lower in 2025 by gap size, fitted separately for each scoring. Gaps are taken on the rounded points shown. The starter line is an illustrative cutoff (RB24, WR30, TE12), not a lineup rule.
The numbers are worked out before any sentence is written, and the text states only those numbers and the sources' facts. No one was interviewed or quoted.