Scouting report · RB · Minnesota
RB53 in Superflex dynasty leagues, but the clock is running: 23% less in a year on age alone.
#215 overall · age 31 · 2017 round 5, pick 182 · 10th seasonQuestionable
MINRunning back · RB53
Standard points a game
This week · week 8 · Standard
7.5RB28
@ DET · Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET
Questionable · injury data read Fri, Oct 30, 9:03 a.m. ET
Sleeper's projection, read Fri, Oct 30, 9:03 a.m. ET, scored by Swindlr
Rest of season · redraft standard
#34 · RB21
Value 3,267 · 12 teams
Dynasty · Dynasty SF
#215 · RB53
Value 1,278 · 12 teams
LatestJordan Mason's return changes Minnesota's backfield: what it means for Week 8 · News, Oct 28, 2026
Dynasty value · Dynasty SF
1,278
▼ 55 · last 3 weeks of games
Rank
#215 · RB53
Overall · position
2026 Standard / game
10.1
RB19 at the position
Age
31
10 seasons in
In a year
−23%
987 · about #299 next year
Recalculated: today's model on the games through each week, valued at today's point in the season. It shows what each week's games did to his value, not the values Swindlr showed at the time.
Swindlr records its published values weekly from Oct 28, 2026; they'll appear here as a record beside this chart.
Every format
12-team leagues. Tap a format to see him in it.
Where his value comes from · Dynasty SF
This season 31%Next two seasons 52%Later 17%
76% of it is upside, the model's allowance for him outplaying his projection of 12.7 a game; the projection alone is worth the other 24%. That allowance comes from how widely players at his position score around their projections, set wider in a player's first three seasons and for seasons further off, and it's the least certain part of the number: a valuation that counts less of it would price him lower.
Regular season · week 8 of 2026 (in progress)
| Season | G | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Standard / G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 255 | 1,138 | 5 | 62 | 51 | 408 | 2 | 11.2 |
| 2025 | 12 | 132 | 548 | 2 | 41 | 28 | 199 | 1 | 7.6 |
| 2026 | 6 | 105 | 436 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 72 | 0 | 10.1 |
2026 week by week · Standard points
Swindlr analysis
News · · Covers Oct 24–25, 2026
Jordan Mason took 15 of Minnesota's 29 carries in his first game back, while Aaron Jones Sr. fell from 21.3 carries a game to 8. He projects right at the illustrative starter line: a close call for Week 8.
Dynasty SF
Real trades · 144 in the last year · 96 in dynasty Superflex leagues
The last 90 days of the sample, dynasty leagues: 59 trades, 47 Superflex or 2QB and 12 one-QB, 38 with a TE premium. Every trade with him, by format →
Real trades are mixed on him
In 11 Dynasty SF trades since September where he went alone, what changed hands came to about 1.21× his value here (the middle half of them 0.68× to 1.48×): no clear lean either way.
What managers actually gave for Aaron in completed trades in public Sleeper leagues, leagues like Dynasty SF first. Each shows the date and the league's settings; the price is what was agreed then, and the line under it is today's value, a different thing. Two-team trades of up to four pieces a side; none is left out for disagreeing with Swindlr. No league or manager names. 9 of them look lopsided at today's values (values move after a trade, with injuries and role changes, so a fair price then can look lopsided now); none is left out.
Equal value today · Swindlr's estimate
Not real trades: packages that land within a few percent of Aaron's value in Dynasty SF now. Open one in the calculator to see who wins it.
Head to head
In your league
Values are Swindlr's estimates for 12-team leagues, updated with every week's stats (through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)). "In a year" is the same production a year older, on the age curve the model is tuned with; news, role changes and the next rookie class aren’t in it. Stats: nflverse (CC-BY 4.0).
Stats from Sleeper’s weekly stat lines, regular season, through week 8 of 2026 (in progress) (nflverse’s box scores fill a week Sleeper lacks); teams and injuries from Sleeper, Oct 30. Where the numbers come from.