Recalculated: today's model on the games through each week, valued at today's point in the season. It shows what each week's games did to his value, not the values Swindlr showed at the time.
Swindlr records its published values weekly from Oct 28, 2026; they'll appear here as a record beside this chart.
52% of it is upside, the model's allowance for him outplaying his projection of 15.0 a game; the projection alone is worth the other 48%. That allowance comes from how widely players at his position score around their projections, set wider in a player's first three seasons and for seasons further off, and it's the least certain part of the number: a valuation that counts less of it would price him lower.
Jameson Williams climbs 7 places among receivers when catches don't count, one of 10 players who cross the illustrative 12-team starter line depending on scoring. The head-to-head that flips: Ashton Jeanty or Derrick Henry.
What he's worth in a trade
Dynasty 1QB
Real trades · 200 in the last year · 26 in dynasty one-QB leagues
The last 90 days of the sample, dynasty leagues: 69 trades, 56 Superflex or 2QB and 13 one-QB, 52 with a TE premium. Every trade with him, by format →
What managers actually gave for Chase in completed trades in public Sleeper leagues, leagues like Dynasty 1QB first. Each shows the date and the league's settings; the price is what was agreed then, and the line under it is today's value, a different thing. Two-team trades of up to four pieces a side; none is left out for disagreeing with Swindlr. No league or manager names. 2 of them look lopsided at today's values (values move after a trade, with injuries and role changes, so a fair price then can look lopsided now); none is left out.
Oct 19, 2026 · 16-team dynasty 1QB, TE +0.75Alec Pierce + Chase BrownforJeremiyah LoveToday on the Dynasty 1QB board: 5,476 for his side, 4,422 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
Oct 13, 2026 · 14-team dynasty 1QB, TE +0.3Samaje Perine + Amon-Ra St. Brown + Chase BrownforDe'Von Achane + Luther Burden III + 2027 1st + 2027 3rdToday on the Dynasty 1QB board: 10,629 for his side, 10,224 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
Oct 11, 2026 · 14-team dynasty 1QB, TE +1Chase BrownforKyle Monangai + 2027 1st + 2027 4thToday on the Dynasty 1QB board: 3,970 for his side, 5,071 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
Oct 8, 2026 · 12-team dynasty 1QB, TE +0.75Chase BrownforDavid Montgomery + 2027 1st + 2028 3rdToday on the Dynasty 1QB board: 3,970 for his side, 3,348 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
Oct 4, 2026 · 8-team dynasty 1QBChase Brown + RJ HarveyforAaron Jones Sr. + Jakobi MeyersToday on the Dynasty 1QB board: 6,926 for his side, 3,049 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
Oct 2, 2026 · 10-team dynasty 1QBChase Brown + Michael MayerforJuwan Johnson + Breece Hall + 2027 1stToday on the Dynasty 1QB board: 5,396 for his side, 6,609 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
Equal value today · Swindlr's estimate
Not real trades: packages that land within a few percent of Chase's value in Dynasty 1QB now. Open one in the calculator to see who wins it.
Values are Swindlr's estimates for 12-team leagues, updated with every week's stats (through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)). "In a year" is the same production a year older, on the age curve the model is tuned with; news, role changes and the next rookie class aren’t in it. Stats: nflverse (CC-BY 4.0).
Stats from Sleeper’s weekly stat lines, regular season, through week 8 of 2026 (in progress) (nflverse’s box scores fill a week Sleeper lacks); teams and injuries from Sleeper, Oct 30. Where the numbers come from.