Scouting report · TE · Dallas

Jake Ferguson

TE25 in Superflex dynasty leagues. Age alone takes 3% off in a year.

#222 overall · age 27 · 2022 round 4, pick 129 · 5th season

DALTight end · TE25

Standard points a game

3.22024
6.22025
3.92026 · 7 G

Current outlook

This week · week 8 · Standard

6.3TE10

vs ARI · Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET

No injury designation · injury data read Fri, Oct 30, 7:54 a.m. ET

Sleeper's projection, read Fri, Oct 30, 7:54 a.m. ET, scored by Swindlr

Rest of season · redraft standard

#147 · TE36

Value 1,249 · 12 teams

Dynasty · Dynasty SF

#222 · TE25

Value 1,257 · 12 teams

Dynasty value · Dynasty SF

1,257

▼ 171 · last 3 weeks of games

Rank

#222 · TE25

Overall · position

2026 Standard / game

3.9

TE30 at the position

Age

27

5 seasons in

In a year

−3%

1,218 · about #228 next year

Value through each week · 2026 · Dynasty SF

Recalculated: today's model on the games through each week, valued at today's point in the season. It shows what each week's games did to his value, not the values Swindlr showed at the time.

Swindlr records its published values weekly from Oct 28, 2026; they'll appear here as a record beside this chart.

Every format

12-team leagues. Tap a format to see him in it.

Where his value comes from · Dynasty SF

This season 8%Next two seasons 29%Later 64%

His projection (8.6 a game) doesn't clear a replacement-level tight end yet, so his value is all upside: the model's allowance for him becoming more than that, which it makes wider the further ahead it looks. It's the least certain part of any value.

Splits

Regular season · week 8 of 2026 (in progress)

SeasonGTgtRecRec ydsRec TDRush ydsStandard / G
2024148659494003.2
20251710282600816.2
202672517115303.9

2026 week by week · Standard points

Wk 10.6Wk 216.3Wk 36.3Wk 41.1Wk 51.9Wk 61.3Wk 70.0

In the news

Swindlr analysis

Analysis ·

Week 8 start/sit: when PPR changes the answer

Jameson Williams climbs 7 places among receivers when catches don't count, one of 10 players who cross the illustrative 12-team starter line depending on scoring. The head-to-head that flips: Ashton Jeanty or Derrick Henry.

What he's worth in a trade

Dynasty SF

Real trades · 113 in the last year · 84 in dynasty Superflex leagues

The last 90 days of the sample, dynasty leagues: 38 trades, 33 Superflex or 2QB and 5 one-QB, 30 with a TE premium. Every trade with him, by format →

Real trades are mixed on him

In 6 Dynasty SF trades since September where he went alone, what changed hands came to about 1.15× his value here (the middle half of them 0.69× to 1.54×): no clear lean either way.

What managers actually gave for Jake in completed trades in public Sleeper leagues, leagues like Dynasty SF first. Each shows the date and the league's settings; the price is what was agreed then, and the line under it is today's value, a different thing. Two-team trades of up to four pieces a side; none is left out for disagreeing with Swindlr. No league or manager names. 8 of them look lopsided at today's values (values move after a trade, with injuries and role changes, so a fair price then can look lopsided now); none is left out.

Equal value today · Swindlr's estimate

Not real trades: packages that land within a few percent of Jake's value in Dynasty SF now. Open one in the calculator to see who wins it.

Dohnte MeyersWR · 4.7 proj ppg · compare · check it1,255
Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · 7.6 proj ppg · compare · check it1,255
CJ DonaldsonRB · 2.9 proj ppg · compare · check it1,255

Head to head

In your league

Make the move for Jake.

Values are Swindlr's estimates for 12-team leagues, updated with every week's stats (through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)). "In a year" is the same production a year older, on the age curve the model is tuned with; news, role changes and the next rookie class aren’t in it. Stats: nflverse (CC-BY 4.0).

Stats from Sleeper’s weekly stat lines, regular season, through week 8 of 2026 (in progress) (nflverse’s box scores fill a week Sleeper lacks); teams and injuries from Sleeper, Oct 30. Where the numbers come from.