Scouting report · WR · Indianapolis

Josh Downs

WR49 in Superflex TE-premium dynasty leagues, right in the prime of the curve.

#124 overall · age 25 · 2023 round 3, pick 79 · 4th season

INDWide receiver · WR49

Standard points a game

8.02024
4.92025
4.52026 · 7 G

Current outlook

This week · week 8 · Standard

6.1WR39

@ JAX · Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET

No injury designation · injury data read Fri, Oct 30, 3:33 p.m. ET

Sleeper's projection, read Fri, Oct 30, 3:33 p.m. ET, scored by Swindlr

Rest of season · redraft standard

#197 · WR65

Value 887 · 12 teams

Dynasty · SF TE+

#124 · WR49

Value 2,005 · 12 teams

Latest15 real trades for him in public Sleeper leagues, the sample's last two weeks

Dynasty value · SF TE+

2,005

▼ 100 · last 3 weeks of games

Rank

#124 · WR49

Overall · position

2026 Standard / game

4.5

WR65 at the position

Age

25

4 seasons in

In a year

Same

2,011 · about #122 next year

Value through each week · 2026 · SF TE+

Recalculated: today's model on the games through each week, valued at today's point in the season. It shows what each week's games did to his value, not the values Swindlr showed at the time.

Swindlr records its published values weekly from Oct 28, 2026; they'll appear here as a record beside this chart.

Every format

12-team leagues. Tap a format to see him in it.

Where his value comes from · SF TE+

This season 7%Next two seasons 28%Later 65%

His projection (9.8 a game) doesn't clear a replacement-level receiver yet, so his value is all upside: the model's allowance for him becoming more than that, which it makes wider the further ahead it looks. It's the least certain part of any value.

Splits

Regular season · week 8 of 2026 (in progress)

SeasonGTgtRecRec ydsRec TDRush ydsStandard / G
202414107728035128.0
20251688585664-24.9
202674626307074.5

2026 week by week · Standard points

Wk 13.7Wk 27.2Wk 37.7Wk 41.6Wk 54.7Wk 64.7Wk 71.8

What he's worth in a trade

SF TE+

Real trades · 209 in the last year · 151 in dynasty Superflex leagues

The last 90 days of the sample, dynasty leagues: 77 trades, 67 Superflex or 2QB and 10 one-QB, 60 with a TE premium. Every trade with him, by format →

Real trades are mixed on him

In 9 SF TE+ trades since September where he went alone, what changed hands came to about 0.77× his value here (the middle half of them 0.58× to 1.1×): no clear lean either way.

What managers actually gave for Josh in completed trades in public Sleeper leagues, leagues like SF TE+ first. Each shows the date and the league's settings; the price is what was agreed then, and the line under it is today's value, a different thing. Two-team trades of up to four pieces a side; none is left out for disagreeing with Swindlr. No league or manager names. 5 of them look lopsided at today's values (values move after a trade, with injuries and role changes, so a fair price then can look lopsided now); none is left out.

Equal value today · Swindlr's estimate

Not real trades: packages that land within a few percent of Josh's value in SF TE+ now. Open one in the calculator to see who wins it.

Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · 9.0 proj ppg · compare · check it2,009
Tyler HuntleyQB · 13.2 proj ppg · compare · check it1,998
Cam WardQB · 11.5 proj ppg · compare · check it2,019

Head to head

In your league

Make the move for Josh.

Values are Swindlr's estimates for 12-team leagues, updated with every week's stats (through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)). "In a year" is the same production a year older, on the age curve the model is tuned with; news, role changes and the next rookie class aren’t in it. Stats: nflverse (CC-BY 4.0).

Stats from Sleeper’s weekly stat lines, regular season, through week 8 of 2026 (in progress) (nflverse’s box scores fill a week Sleeper lacks); teams and injuries from Sleeper, Oct 30. Where the numbers come from.