Recalculated: today's model on the games through each week, valued at today's point in the season. It shows what each week's games did to his value, not the values Swindlr showed at the time.
Swindlr records its published values weekly from Oct 28, 2026; they'll appear here as a record beside this chart.
63% of it is what he's projected to score (11.8 a game, aged season by season) and 37% is upside, the chance he does better. The projection weighs this season's 14.0 a game over 5 games against last season's 11.1 and his draft slot, giving less weight to last season when his role has grown, and it moves as the games pile up.
Jameson Williams climbs 7 places among receivers when catches don't count, one of 10 players who cross the illustrative 12-team starter line depending on scoring. The head-to-head that flips: Ashton Jeanty or Derrick Henry.
What he's worth in a trade
Dynasty 1QB
Real trades · 139 in the last year · 18 in dynasty one-QB leagues
The last 90 days of the sample, dynasty leagues: 42 trades, 35 Superflex or 2QB and 7 one-QB, 22 with a TE premium. Every trade with him, by format →
What managers actually gave for Tyler in completed trades in public Sleeper leagues, leagues like Dynasty 1QB first. Each shows the date and the league's settings; the price is what was agreed then, and the line under it is today's value, a different thing. Two-team trades of up to four pieces a side; none is left out for disagreeing with Swindlr. No league or manager names. 4 of them look lopsided at today's values (values move after a trade, with injuries and role changes, so a fair price then can look lopsided now); none is left out.
Oct 8, 2026 · 10-team dynasty 1QBTee Higgins + Tyler WarrenforJaylen Waddle + Chuba HubbardToday on the Dynasty 1QB board: 7,805 for his side, 5,335 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
Oct 7, 2026 · 12-team dynasty 1QBTyler Warren + 2027 2ndforJordyn Tyson + Denzel BostonToday on the Dynasty 1QB board: 4,750 for his side, 5,628 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
Sep 23, 2026 · 12-team dynasty 1QB, half PPRZay Flowers + Tyler WarrenforJayden Higgins + Ja'Kobi Lane + 2028 1st + 2029 1stToday on the Dynasty 1QB board: 8,126 for his side, 5,728 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
Sep 22, 2026 · 16-team dynasty 1QBTyler Warren + two 2027 2ndsforMark Andrews + 2027 1stToday on the Dynasty 1QB board: 5,510 for his side, 2,661 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
Aug 3, 2026 · 10-team dynasty 1QBTyler WarrenforMichael Wilson + Oronde Gadsden + 2027 2ndToday on the Dynasty 1QB board: 3,990 for his side, 5,473 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
Equal value today · Swindlr's estimate
Not real trades: packages that land within a few percent of Tyler's value in Dynasty 1QB now. Open one in the calculator to see who wins it.
Values are Swindlr's estimates for 12-team leagues, updated with every week's stats (through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)). "In a year" is the same production a year older, on the age curve the model is tuned with; news, role changes and the next rookie class aren’t in it. Stats: nflverse (CC-BY 4.0).
Stats from Sleeper’s weekly stat lines, regular season, through week 8 of 2026 (in progress) (nflverse’s box scores fill a week Sleeper lacks); teams and injuries from Sleeper, Oct 31. Where the numbers come from.