Two players, one answer.
A.J. Brown vs DJ Moore
This week
Toss-up · 14.7 to 13 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
A.J. Brown by 41% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
A.J. Brown by 34% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 58% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, DJ Moore is projected 1.7 points ahead of A.J. Brown. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 58% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · BUF
DJ Moore
14.7 projected
vs BAL · Sun 1:00 PM ETQuestionable
9.1 a game this season · last 3: -0.1, 12.7, 2.7
WR · NE
A.J. Brown
13.0 projected
@ MIA · Sun 4:25 PM ETQuestionable
6.4 a game this season · last 3: 5.6, 5.7, 7.8
- DJ Moore is questionable. The projection assumes he plays; if he's ruled out, the next player up is the call.
- A.J. Brown is questionable. The projection assumes he plays; if he's ruled out, the next player up is the call.
What the call rests on
- DJ Moore: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 9:10 PM ET
- A.J. Brown: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 9:10 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Thu, Oct 29, 9:15 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Thu, Oct 29, 9:15 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Moore | Brown |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 14.7 | 13 |
| Half PPR | 12.4 | 10.8 |
| Standard | 10.2 | 8.7 |
What could change it before kickoff
- DJ Moore's status (questionable): if he's ruled out, A.J. Brown is the start.
- A.J. Brown's status (questionable): if he's ruled out, DJ Moore is the start.
- A projection update of 1.7 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- DJ Moore plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before A.J. Brown's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.