Two players, one answer.
A.J. Brown vs Garrett Wilson
Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 7 of 2026
This week
Toss-up · 16.3 to 15 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
A.J. Brown by 6% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
Garrett Wilson by 16% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 56% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Garrett Wilson is projected 1.3 points ahead of A.J. Brown. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 56% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · NYJ
Garrett Wilson
16.3 projected
vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM ET
14.2 a game this season · last 3: 23.4, 8.4, 4.6
WR · NE
A.J. Brown
15.0 projected
@ MIA · Sun 4:25 PM ET
6.4 a game this season · last 3: 5.6, 5.7, 7.8
What the call rests on
- Garrett Wilson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 3:30 PM ET
- A.J. Brown: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 3:30 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Wed, Oct 28, 3:42 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Wed, Oct 28, 3:42 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Wilson | Brown |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 16.3 | 15 |
| Half PPR | 13.6 | 12.5 |
| Standard | 10.8 | 10.1 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 1.3 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Garrett Wilson plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before A.J. Brown's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.