Two players, one answer.
A.J. Brown vs Rashee Rice
This week
Toss-up · 13 to 12.6 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Rashee Rice by 14% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Rashee Rice by 23% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 52% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, A.J. Brown is projected 0.4 points ahead of Rashee Rice. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · NE
A.J. Brown
13.0 projected
@ MIA · Sun 4:25 PM ETQuestionable
6.4 a game this season · last 3: 5.6, 5.7, 7.8
WR · KC
Rashee Rice
12.6 projected
@ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ETQuestionable
12.7 a game this season · last 3: 9.9, 12.3, 15.8
- A.J. Brown is questionable. The projection assumes he plays; if he's ruled out, the next player up is the call.
- Rashee Rice is questionable. The projection assumes he plays; if he's ruled out, the next player up is the call.
What the call rests on
- A.J. Brown: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 11:50 PM ET
- Rashee Rice: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 11:50 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Thu, Oct 29, 11:55 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Thu, Oct 29, 11:55 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Brown | Rice |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 13 | 12.6 |
| Half PPR | 10.8 | 10.4 |
| Standard | 8.7 | 8.1 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A.J. Brown's status (questionable): if he's ruled out, Rashee Rice is the start.
- Rashee Rice's status (questionable): if he's ruled out, A.J. Brown is the start.
- A projection update of 0.4 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.