Two players, one answer.
A.J. Brown vs Tetairoa McMillan
Any format · Week 8 start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 7 of 2026
This week
Toss-up · 15.2 to 14.9 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Tetairoa McMillan by 22% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
Tetairoa McMillan by 42% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 51% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, A.J. Brown is projected 0.3 points ahead of Tetairoa McMillan. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 51% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · NE
A.J. Brown
15.2 projected
@ MIA · Sun 4:25 PM ET
6.4 a game this season · last 3: 5.6, 5.7, 7.8
WR · CAR
Tetairoa McMillan
14.9 projected
@ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ET
16.2 a game this season · last 3: 45.2, 14.6, 8
- Tetairoa McMillan has scored 22.6 a game over his last three, above his 16.2 season average.
What the call rests on
- A.J. Brown: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 2:40 PM ET
- Tetairoa McMillan: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 2:40 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Oct 27, 2:56 PM ET.
- Injury statuses: Sleeper's player list, read Tue, Oct 27, 9:01 AM ET (once a day). Game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Brown | McMillan |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 15.2 | 14.9 |
| Half PPR | 12.7 | 12.3 |
| Standard | 10.2 | 9.7 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.3 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Tetairoa McMillan plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before A.J. Brown's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.