Two players, one answer.
A.J. Brown vs Tetairoa McMillan
This week
Toss-up · 8.9 to 8.9 projected (Week 9, Standard)
Rest of season
Tetairoa McMillan by 37% (Redraft standard)Dynasty
Tetairoa McMillan by 45% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · Standard · 50% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Tetairoa McMillan and A.J. Brown are projected level. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · CAR
Tetairoa McMillan
8.9 projected
vs DEN · Sun 1:00 PM ET
9.6 a game this season · last 3: 8.6, 4, 5.8
WR · NE
A.J. Brown
8.9 projected
vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM ETQuestionable
3.4 a game this season · last 3: 2.6, 2.7, 4.8
- A.J. Brown is questionable. The projection assumes he plays; if he's ruled out, the next player up is the call.
What the call rests on
- Tetairoa McMillan: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Nov 4, 1:40 PM ET
- A.J. Brown: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Nov 4, 1:40 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Wed, Nov 4, 1:51 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Wed, Nov 4, 1:51 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | McMillan | Brown |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 13.8 | 13.3 |
| Half PPR | 11.4 | 11.1 |
| Standard | 8.9 | 8.9 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A.J. Brown's status (questionable): if he's ruled out, Tetairoa McMillan is the start.
- A projection update of 0 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Tetairoa McMillan plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before A.J. Brown's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Standard settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.