Two players, one answer.
Aaron Jones Sr. vs Travis Kelce
This week
Start Travis Kelce · 11.5 to 9.8 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Travis Kelce by 13% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Aaron Jones Sr. by 89% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 58% held up in 2025
Lean Travis Kelce
On Sleeper's projections, Travis Kelce is projected 1.7 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr.. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 58% of the time. A lean, not a lock.
TE · KC
Travis Kelce
11.5 projected
@ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ETQuestionable
11.7 a game this season · last 3: 3.5, 9.3, 8.4
RB · MIN
Aaron Jones Sr.
9.8 projected
@ DET · Sun 1:00 PM ETQuestionable
12.3 a game this season · last 3: 16.8, 18.7, 3.6
- Travis Kelce is questionable. The projection assumes he plays; if he's ruled out, the next player up is the call.
- Aaron Jones Sr. is questionable. The projection assumes he plays; if he's ruled out, the next player up is the call.
What the call rests on
- Travis Kelce: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 7:50 AM ET
- Aaron Jones Sr.: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 7:50 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Fri, Oct 30, 7:54 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Fri, Oct 30, 7:54 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Kelce | Sr. |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 11.5 | 9.8 |
| Half PPR | 9.3 | 8.7 |
| Standard | 7.1 | 7.5 |
What could change it before kickoff
- Travis Kelce's status (questionable): if he's ruled out, Aaron Jones Sr. is the start.
- Aaron Jones Sr.'s status (questionable): if he's ruled out, Travis Kelce is the start.
- A projection update of 1.7 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Aaron Jones Sr. 7.5, Travis Kelce 7.1.
- Aaron Jones Sr. plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Travis Kelce's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.