Two players, one answer.

Aaron Rodgers vs Matthew Stafford

Any league · Week 8 start/sit · Half PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Aaron Rodgers · Matthew Stafford

Week 8 · Half PPR · 50% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Matthew Stafford and Aaron Rodgers are projected level. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

QB · LAR

Matthew Stafford

16.1 projected

vs LAC · Sun 4:05 PM ET

18.6 a game this season · last 3: 27.3, 16.9, 18.5

QB · PIT

Aaron Rodgers

16.1 projected

vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ET

16.8 a game this season · last 3: 22, 17, 13.1

What the call rests on

  • Matthew Stafford: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 9:20 AM ET
  • Aaron Rodgers: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 9:20 AM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Thu, Oct 29, 9:25 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Thu, Oct 29, 9:25 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 0 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Aaron Rodgers plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Matthew Stafford's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Half PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.