Two players, one answer.

AJ Barner vs Jake Ferguson

Dynasty Superflex · 12 teams

Stats through week 6 of 2026

Week 7 · PPR · 50% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Jake Ferguson is projected 0 points ahead of AJ Barner. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 50% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: start the one you trust more, or the one with news on his side.

TE · DAL

Jake Ferguson

7.8 projected

@ PHI · Mon 8:15 PM ET

7.4 a game this season · last 3: 4.1, 4.9, 3.3

TE · SEA

AJ Barner

7.8 projected

vs KC · Sun 8:20 PM ET

6.2 a game this season · last 3: 5, 4.6, 8.6

Their games have already kicked off, so most platforms have locked them in or out for this week.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season.