Two players, one answer.
AJ Barner vs Pat Freiermuth
Any format · Week 8 start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 7 of 2026
This week
Toss-up · 9.3 to 8.4 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Pat Freiermuth by 25% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
AJ Barner by 16% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 54% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Pat Freiermuth is projected 0.9 points ahead of AJ Barner. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 54% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
TE · PIT
Pat Freiermuth
9.3 projected
vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ET
9.6 a game this season · last 3: 21.5, 3.1, 4
TE · SEA
AJ Barner
8.4 projected
vs CHI · Mon 8:15 PM ET
6.2 a game this season · last 3: 5, 4.6, 8.6
What the call rests on
- Pat Freiermuth: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 4:30 PM ET
- AJ Barner: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 4:30 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Oct 27, 4:48 PM ET.
- Injury statuses: Sleeper's player list, read Tue, Oct 27, 9:01 AM ET (once a day). Game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Freiermuth | Barner |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 9.3 | 8.4 |
| Half PPR | 7.6 | 6.8 |
| Standard | 5.8 | 5.2 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.9 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Pat Freiermuth plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before AJ Barner's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.