Two players, one answer.
AJ Dillon vs Jalen Royals
This week
No call this week: one of them has no game or a projection under 4 points
Rest of season
Jalen Royals by 5% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
Jalen Royals by 49% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 56% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Jalen Royals is projected 1.3 points ahead of AJ Dillon. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 56% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · KC
Jalen Royals
2.0 projected
@ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ET
2.5 a game this season · last 3: 0, 4.4, 0
RB · CAR
AJ Dillon
0.7 projected
@ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ET
1.7 a game this season · last 3: -0.3, 2.4, 1.7
What the call rests on
- Jalen Royals: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 3:30 PM ET
- AJ Dillon: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 3:30 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Wed, Oct 28, 3:42 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Wed, Oct 28, 3:42 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Royals | Dillon |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 2 | 0.7 |
| Half PPR | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Standard | 1.2 | 0.6 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 1.3 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- AJ Dillon plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Jalen Royals's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.