Two players, one answer.
AJ Dillon vs Jonnu Smith
Any league · this week start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 7 of 2026
This week
No call this week: one of them has no game or a projection under 4 points
Rest of season
Jonnu Smith by 67% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
AJ Dillon by 9% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 56% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Jonnu Smith is projected 1.3 points ahead of AJ Dillon. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 56% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
TE · GB
Jonnu Smith
2.0 projected
vs CAR · Thu 8:15 PM ET
3.9 a game this season · last 3: 3.6, 2.9, 1.9
RB · CAR
AJ Dillon
0.7 projected
@ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ET
1.7 a game this season · last 3: -0.3, 2.4, 1.7
What the call rests on
- Jonnu Smith: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 3:30 AM ET
- AJ Dillon: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 3:30 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Wed, Oct 28, 3:40 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Wed, Oct 28, 3:40 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Smith | Dillon |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 2 | 0.7 |
| Half PPR | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Standard | 1.1 | 0.6 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 1.3 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.