Two players, one answer.
Ashton Jeanty vs Braelon Allen
This week
Toss-up · 8.3 to 8.1 projected (Week 9, Standard)
Rest of season
Ashton Jeanty by 33% (Redraft standard)Dynasty
Ashton Jeanty by 42% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · Standard · 51% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Braelon Allen is projected 0.2 points ahead of Ashton Jeanty. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 51% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
RB · NYJ
Braelon Allen
8.3 projected
@ KC · Sun 1:00 PM ET
10.3 a game this season · last 3: 10.4, 13.4, 21.3
RB · LV
Ashton Jeanty
8.1 projected
@ SF · Sun 4:05 PM ET
11.9 a game this season · last 3: 11.8, 13.6, 7.3
What the call rests on
- Braelon Allen: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 9:40 PM ET
- Ashton Jeanty: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 9:40 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Nov 3, 9:42 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Tue, Nov 3, 9:42 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Allen | Jeanty |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 10.6 | 12.2 |
| Half PPR | 9.4 | 10.2 |
| Standard | 8.3 | 8.1 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.2 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In ppr scoring the call goes the other way: Ashton Jeanty 12.2, Braelon Allen 10.6.
- In half-PPR scoring the call goes the other way: Ashton Jeanty 10.2, Braelon Allen 9.4.
- Braelon Allen plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Ashton Jeanty's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Standard settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.