Two players, one answer.
Ashton Jeanty vs Derrick Henry
Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 7 of 2026
This week
Toss-up · 16.6 to 15.8 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
About even (redraft PPR)Dynasty
Ashton Jeanty by 75% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 54% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Ashton Jeanty is projected 0.8 points ahead of Derrick Henry. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 54% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
RB · LV
Ashton Jeanty
16.6 projected
@ NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM ET
17.4 a game this season · last 3: 10.7, 15.8, 21.6
RB · BAL
Derrick Henry
15.8 projected
@ BUF · Sun 1:00 PM ET
17.5 a game this season · last 3: 21, 5, 5.9
- Derrick Henry has scored 10.6 a game over his last three, below his 17.5 season average.
What the call rests on
- Ashton Jeanty: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 3:30 AM ET
- Derrick Henry: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 3:30 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Wed, Oct 28, 3:40 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Wed, Oct 28, 3:40 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Jeanty | Henry |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 16.6 | 15.8 |
| Half PPR | 14.5 | 15.2 |
| Standard | 12.5 | 14.5 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.8 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In half-PPR scoring the call goes the other way: Derrick Henry 15.2, Ashton Jeanty 14.5.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Derrick Henry 14.5, Ashton Jeanty 12.5.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.