Two players, one answer.
Ashton Jeanty vs J.K. Dobbins
This week
Toss-up · 8.1 to 8.1 projected (Week 9, Standard)
Rest of season
Ashton Jeanty by 49% (Redraft standard)Dynasty
Ashton Jeanty by 75% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · Standard · 50% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Ashton Jeanty and J.K. Dobbins are projected level. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
RB · LV
Ashton Jeanty
8.1 projected
@ SF · Sun 4:05 PM ET
11.9 a game this season · last 3: 11.8, 13.6, 7.3
RB · DEN
J.K. Dobbins
8.1 projected
@ CAR · Sun 1:00 PM ET
6.4 a game this season · last 3: 10.6, 8.3, 1.3
What the call rests on
- Ashton Jeanty: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Nov 4, 7:40 AM ET
- J.K. Dobbins: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Nov 4, 7:40 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Wed, Nov 4, 7:47 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Wed, Nov 4, 7:47 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Jeanty | Dobbins |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 12.2 | 9.9 |
| Half PPR | 10.2 | 9 |
| Standard | 8.1 | 8.1 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- J.K. Dobbins plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Ashton Jeanty's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Standard settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.