Two players, one answer.

Ashton Jeanty vs Tony Pollard

Any league · Week 8 start/sit · Standard

Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)

Ashton Jeanty · Tony Pollard

Week 8 · Standard · 51% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Tony Pollard is projected 0.2 points ahead of Ashton Jeanty. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 51% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

RB · TEN

Tony Pollard

12.3 projected

@ CIN · Sun 1:00 PM ET

11 a game this season · last 3: 5.2, 7.6, 33.5

RB · LV

Ashton Jeanty

12.1 projected

@ NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM ET

12.6 a game this season · last 3: 7.7, 11.8, 13.6

What the call rests on

  • Tony Pollard: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 7:10 AM ET
  • Ashton Jeanty: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 7:10 AM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Sun, Nov 1, 7:31 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Sun, Nov 1, 7:31 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredPollardJeanty
PPR14.715.9
Half PPR13.514
Standard12.312.1

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 0.2 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • In ppr scoring the call goes the other way: Ashton Jeanty 15.9, Tony Pollard 14.7.
  • In half-PPR scoring the call goes the other way: Ashton Jeanty 14, Tony Pollard 13.5.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Standard settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.