Two players, one answer.
Ashton Jeanty vs Tyler Allgeier
This week
Toss-up · 12.2 to 12 projected (Week 9, PPR)
Rest of season
Ashton Jeanty by 81% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Ashton Jeanty by 78% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · PPR · 51% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Ashton Jeanty is projected 0.2 points ahead of Tyler Allgeier. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 51% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
RB · LV
Ashton Jeanty
12.2 projected
@ SF · Sun 4:05 PM ET
16.5 a game this season · last 3: 15.8, 21.6, 10.3
RB · ARI
Tyler Allgeier
12.0 projected
@ SEA · Sun 4:25 PM ET
10.5 a game this season · last 3: 5.8, 7.9, 36.1
- Tyler Allgeier has scored 16.6 a game over his last three, above his 10.5 season average.
What the call rests on
- Ashton Jeanty: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 6:40 PM ET
- Tyler Allgeier: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 6:40 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Nov 3, 6:41 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Tue, Nov 3, 6:41 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Jeanty | Allgeier |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 12.2 | 12 |
| Half PPR | 10.2 | 10.1 |
| Standard | 8.1 | 8.2 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.2 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Tyler Allgeier 8.2, Ashton Jeanty 8.1.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.