Two players, one answer.

Austin Ekeler vs Noah Gray

Any league · this week start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Week 8 · PPR · 60% held up in 2025

Lean Austin Ekeler

On Sleeper's projections, Austin Ekeler is projected 2.1 points ahead of Noah Gray. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 60% of the time. A lean, not a lock.

RB · WAS

Austin Ekeler

5.7 projected

vs PHI · Sun 8:20 PM ET

3.4 a game this season · last 3: 5, 2.4, 2.7

TE · KC

Noah Gray

3.6 projected

@ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ET

4.6 a game this season · last 3: 3.7, 8.3, 7.4

What the call rests on

  • Austin Ekeler: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 12:30 PM ET
  • Noah Gray: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 12:30 PM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Wed, Oct 28, 12:33 PM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Wed, Oct 28, 12:33 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredEkelerGray
PPR5.73.6
Half PPR5.22.8
Standard4.81.9

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 2.1 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Noah Gray plays first (Sun 4:25 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Austin Ekeler's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.