Two players, one answer.
Baker Mayfield vs Brian Thomas Jr.
Any league · this week start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 7 of 2026
This week
No call this week: one of them has no game or a projection under 4 points
Rest of season
Brian Thomas Jr. by 7% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
Baker Mayfield by 26% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 90% held up in 2025
Start Baker Mayfield
On Sleeper's projections, Baker Mayfield is projected 12.8 points ahead of Brian Thomas Jr.. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 90% of the time.
QB · TB
Baker Mayfield
16.3 projected
vs ATL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
10.9 a game this season · last 3: 13.2, 12.3, 6.7
WR · JAX
Brian Thomas Jr.
3.5 projected
vs IND · Sun 1:00 PM ET
4.3 a game this season · last 3: 9.7, 0, 0
What the call rests on
- Baker Mayfield: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 6:50 AM ET
- Brian Thomas Jr.: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 6:50 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Wed, Oct 28, 7:07 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Wed, Oct 28, 7:07 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Mayfield | Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 16.3 | 3.5 |
| Half PPR | 16.3 | 2.9 |
| Standard | 16.3 | 2.4 |
What could change it before kickoff
Nothing pending on either: both are expected to play, and the gap is wide enough that a typical projection update doesn't close it.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.