Two players, one answer.
Baker Mayfield vs Jaylen Warren
This week
Toss-up · 16 to 14.8 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Jaylen Warren by 70% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
About even (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 55% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Baker Mayfield is projected 1.2 points ahead of Jaylen Warren. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 55% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
QB · TB
Baker Mayfield
16.0 projected
vs ATL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
10.9 a game this season · last 3: 13.2, 12.3, 6.7
RB · PIT
Jaylen Warren
14.8 projected
vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ET
17.1 a game this season · last 3: 36.8, 9.8, 16.7
What the call rests on
- Baker Mayfield: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 12:30 AM ET
- Jaylen Warren: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 12:30 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Thu, Oct 29, 12:39 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Thu, Oct 29, 12:39 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Mayfield | Warren |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 16 | 14.8 |
| Half PPR | 16 | 13.4 |
| Standard | 16 | 12 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 1.2 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.