Two players, one answer.

Baker Mayfield vs Tyler Shough

Dynasty Superflex · 12 teams

Stats through week 6 of 2026

Week 7 · PPR · 52% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Tyler Shough is projected 0.5 points ahead of Baker Mayfield. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: start the one you trust more, or the one with news on his side.

QB · NO

Tyler Shough

15.8 projected

vs PIT · Sun 9:30 AM ET

18.8 a game this season · last 3: 1.8, 27, 14.8

QB · TB

Baker Mayfield

15.3 projected

@ CAR · Sun 1:00 PM ET

10.9 a game this season · last 3: 13.2, 12.3, 6.7

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season.