Two players, one answer.
Baker Mayfield vs Zach Ertz
This week
No call this week: one of them has no game or a projection under 4 points
Rest of season
Baker Mayfield by 13% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Baker Mayfield by 98% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 95% held up in 2025
Start Baker Mayfield
On Sleeper's projections, Baker Mayfield is projected 16 points ahead of Zach Ertz. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 95% of the time.
QB · TB
Baker Mayfield
16.0 projected
vs ATL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
10.9 a game this season · last 3: 13.2, 12.3, 6.7
TE · PHI
Zach Ertz
0.0 projected
@ WAS · Sun 8:20 PM ET
1.7 a game this season · last 3: 1.9, 3.3, 0
What the call rests on
- Baker Mayfield: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 2:10 PM ET
- Zach Ertz: Sleeper's projection
- Sleeper's projections read Thu, Oct 29, 2:14 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Thu, Oct 29, 2:14 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
What could change it before kickoff
- Baker Mayfield plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Zach Ertz's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.