Two players, one answer.
Bhayshul Tuten vs Luther Burden III
This week
Toss-up · 14.7 to 14 projected (Week 9, PPR)
Rest of season
Bhayshul Tuten by 31% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
About even (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · PPR · 53% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Luther Burden III is projected 0.7 points ahead of Bhayshul Tuten. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 53% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · CHI
Luther Burden III
14.7 projected
vs TB · Sun 8:20 PM ET
14.5 a game this season · last 3: 17.5, 23.7, 18.6
RB · JAX
Bhayshul Tuten
14.0 projected
@ BAL · Thu 8:15 PM ETQuestionable
16.9 a game this season · last 3: 11.6, 24.7, 29.9
- Luther Burden III has scored 19.9 a game over his last three, above his 14.5 season average.
- Bhayshul Tuten is questionable. The projection assumes he plays; if he's ruled out, the next player up is the call.
- Bhayshul Tuten has scored 22.1 a game over his last three, above his 16.9 season average.
What the call rests on
- Luther Burden III: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 11:30 PM ET
- Bhayshul Tuten: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 11:30 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Nov 3, 11:42 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Tue, Nov 3, 11:42 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | III | Tuten |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 14.7 | 14 |
| Half PPR | 12.1 | 12.9 |
| Standard | 9.6 | 11.8 |
What could change it before kickoff
- Bhayshul Tuten's status (questionable): if he's ruled out, Luther Burden III is the start.
- A projection update of 0.7 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In half-PPR scoring the call goes the other way: Bhayshul Tuten 12.9, Luther Burden III 12.1.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Bhayshul Tuten 11.8, Luther Burden III 9.6.
- Bhayshul Tuten plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Luther Burden III's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.