Two players, one answer.
Bo Nix vs Garrett Wilson
This week
Start Garrett Wilson · 16.6 to 14 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Garrett Wilson by 53% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
About even (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 61% held up in 2025
Lean Garrett Wilson
On Sleeper's projections, Garrett Wilson is projected 2.6 points ahead of Bo Nix. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 61% of the time. A lean, not a lock.
WR · NYJ
Garrett Wilson
16.6 projected
vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM ET
14.2 a game this season · last 3: 23.4, 8.4, 4.6
QB · DEN
Bo Nix
14.0 projected
vs KC · Sun 4:25 PM ET
14.1 a game this season · last 3: 7.9, 4.5, 26.2
What the call rests on
- Garrett Wilson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 4:00 AM ET
- Bo Nix: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 4:00 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Fri, Oct 30, 4:07 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Fri, Oct 30, 4:07 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Wilson | Nix |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 16.6 | 14 |
| Half PPR | 13.8 | 14 |
| Standard | 11 | 14 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 2.6 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In half-PPR scoring the call goes the other way: Bo Nix 14, Garrett Wilson 13.8.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Bo Nix 14, Garrett Wilson 11.
- Garrett Wilson plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Bo Nix's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.