Two players, one answer.
Braelon Allen vs Derrick Henry
Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)
This week
Toss-up · 16.3 to 16.1 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Derrick Henry by 65% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Braelon Allen by 47% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 51% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Braelon Allen is projected 0.2 points ahead of Derrick Henry. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 51% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
RB · NYJ
Braelon Allen
16.3 projected
vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM ET
10.9 a game this season · last 3: 18.6, 12.4, 19.4
RB · BAL
Derrick Henry
16.1 projected
@ BUF · Sun 1:00 PM ET
17.5 a game this season · last 3: 21, 5, 5.9
- Braelon Allen has scored 16.8 a game over his last three, above his 10.9 season average.
- Derrick Henry has scored 10.6 a game over his last three, below his 17.5 season average.
What the call rests on
- Braelon Allen: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 10:30 AM ET
- Derrick Henry: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 10:30 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Sun, Nov 1, 10:33 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Sun, Nov 1, 10:33 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Allen | Henry |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 16.3 | 16.1 |
| Half PPR | 15.1 | 15.4 |
| Standard | 14 | 14.8 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.2 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In half-PPR scoring the call goes the other way: Derrick Henry 15.4, Braelon Allen 15.1.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Derrick Henry 14.8, Braelon Allen 14.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.