Two players, one answer.
Braelon Allen vs Derrick Henry
Any league · Week 8 start/sit · Standard
Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)
This week
Toss-up · 15 to 14.1 projected (Week 8, Standard)
Rest of season
Derrick Henry by 66% (Redraft standard)Dynasty
Braelon Allen by 47% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · Standard · 54% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Derrick Henry is projected 0.9 points ahead of Braelon Allen. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 54% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
RB · BAL
Derrick Henry
15.0 projected
@ BUF · Sun 1:00 PM ET
16.1 a game this season · last 3: 20, 4, 4.9
RB · NYJ
Braelon Allen
14.1 projected
vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM ET
8.8 a game this season · last 3: 17.6, 10.4, 13.4
- Their games have already kicked off, so most platforms have locked them in or out for this week.
- Derrick Henry has scored 9.6 a game over his last three, below his 16.1 season average.
What the call rests on
- Derrick Henry: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 3:33 PM ET
- Braelon Allen: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 3:33 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Sun, Nov 1, 3:34 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Sun, Nov 1, 3:34 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Henry | Allen |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 16.2 | 16.3 |
| Half PPR | 15.6 | 15.2 |
| Standard | 15 | 14.1 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.9 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In ppr scoring the call goes the other way: Braelon Allen 16.3, Derrick Henry 16.2.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Standard settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.