Two players, one answer.
Braelon Allen vs Tyler Allgeier
This week
Toss-up · 8.2 to 8.1 projected (Week 9, Standard)
Rest of season
Braelon Allen by 51% (Redraft standard)Dynasty
Braelon Allen by 63% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · Standard · 50% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Braelon Allen is projected 0.1 points ahead of Tyler Allgeier. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 50% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
RB · NYJ
Braelon Allen
8.2 projected
@ KC · Sun 1:00 PM ET
10.3 a game this season · last 3: 10.4, 13.4, 21.3
RB · ARI
Tyler Allgeier
8.1 projected
@ SEA · Sun 4:25 PM ET
7.9 a game this season · last 3: 4.8, 4.9, 31.1
- Tyler Allgeier has scored 13.6 a game over his last three, above his 7.9 season average.
What the call rests on
- Braelon Allen: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 7:40 PM ET
- Tyler Allgeier: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 7:40 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Nov 3, 7:41 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Tue, Nov 3, 7:41 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Allen | Allgeier |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 10.4 | 11.9 |
| Half PPR | 9.3 | 10 |
| Standard | 8.2 | 8.1 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.1 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In ppr scoring the call goes the other way: Tyler Allgeier 11.9, Braelon Allen 10.4.
- In half-PPR scoring the call goes the other way: Tyler Allgeier 10, Braelon Allen 9.3.
- Braelon Allen plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Tyler Allgeier's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Standard settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.