Two players, one answer.
Brandon Smith vs Noah Gray
This week
No call this week: one of them has no game or a projection under 4 points
Rest of season
Brandon Smith by 31% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
Brandon Smith by 54% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 64% held up in 2025
Lean Noah Gray
On Sleeper's projections, Noah Gray is projected 3.1 points ahead of Brandon Smith. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 64% of the time. A lean, not a lock.
TE · KC
Noah Gray
3.6 projected
@ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ET
4.6 a game this season · last 3: 3.7, 8.3, 7.4
WR · PIT
Brandon Smith
0.5 projected
vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ET
4.4 a game this season · last 1: 4.4
What the call rests on
- Noah Gray: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 8:10 AM ET
- Brandon Smith: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 8:10 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Thu, Oct 29, 8:25 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Thu, Oct 29, 8:25 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Gray | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 3.6 | 0.5 |
| Half PPR | 2.8 | 0.4 |
| Standard | 2 | 0.3 |
What could change it before kickoff
- Brandon Smith plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Noah Gray's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.