Two players, one answer.

Brian Thomas Jr. vs Josh Downs

Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)

Brian Thomas Jr. · Josh Downs

Week 8 · PPR · 74% held up in 2025

Start Josh Downs

On Sleeper's projections, Josh Downs is projected 5.7 points ahead of Brian Thomas Jr.. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 74% of the time.

WR · IND

Josh Downs

9.8 projected

@ JAX · Sun 1:00 PM ET

8.2 a game this season · last 3: 7.7, 8.7, 3.8

WR · JAX

Brian Thomas Jr.

4.1 projected

vs IND · Sun 1:00 PM ET

4.3 a game this season · last 3: 9.7, 0, 0

What the call rests on

  • Josh Downs: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sat, Oct 31, 7:20 AM ET
  • Brian Thomas Jr.: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sat, Oct 31, 7:20 AM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Sat, Oct 31, 7:27 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Sat, Oct 31, 7:27 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredDownsJr.
PPR9.84.1
Half PPR7.93.5
Standard5.92.8

What could change it before kickoff

Nothing pending on either: both are expected to play, and the gap is wide enough that a typical projection update doesn't close it.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.