Two players, one answer.

Brian Thomas Jr. vs Pat Freiermuth

Any format · this week start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Week 8 · PPR · 75% held up in 2025

Start Pat Freiermuth

On Sleeper's projections, Pat Freiermuth is projected 5.8 points ahead of Brian Thomas Jr.. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 75% of the time.

TE · PIT

Pat Freiermuth

9.3 projected

vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ET

9.6 a game this season · last 3: 21.5, 3.1, 4

WR · JAX

Brian Thomas Jr.

3.5 projected

vs IND · Sun 1:00 PM ET

4.3 a game this season · last 3: 9.7, 0, 0

What the call rests on

  • Pat Freiermuth: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 8:50 PM ET
  • Brian Thomas Jr.: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 8:50 PM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Tue, Oct 27, 9:00 PM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Tue, Oct 27, 9:00 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredFreiermuthJr.
PPR9.33.5
Half PPR7.62.9
Standard5.82.4

What could change it before kickoff

Nothing pending on either: both are expected to play, and the gap is wide enough that a typical projection update doesn't close it.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.