Two players, one answer.

Brock Purdy vs Joe Burrow

Dynasty Superflex · 12 teams

Stats through week 6 of 2026

Week 7 · PPR · 52% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Brock Purdy is projected 0.5 points ahead of Joe Burrow. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: start the one you trust more, or the one with news on his side.

QB · SF

Brock Purdy

20.3 projected

@ ATL · Sun 1:00 PM ET

21.4 a game this season · last 3: 17.2, 17.4, 14

QB · CIN

Joe Burrow

19.8 projected

@ BAL · Sun 1:00 PM ET

22.2 a game this season · last 3: 25.7, 24.6, 28.9

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season.