Two players, one answer.
Bryce Young vs Garrett Wilson
This week
Toss-up · 17.9 to 16.6 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Garrett Wilson by 56% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Garrett Wilson by 8% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 56% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Bryce Young is projected 1.3 points ahead of Garrett Wilson. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 56% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
QB · CAR
Bryce Young
— final · points pending · 17.9 projected
@ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ET
20 a game this season · last 3: 21.5, 19.8, 7.4
WR · NYJ
Garrett Wilson
16.6 projected
vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM ET
14.2 a game this season · last 3: 23.4, 8.4, 4.6
- Bryce Young's game has already kicked off, so most platforms have locked him in or out for this week.
What the call rests on
- Bryce Young: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 1:30 AM ET
- Garrett Wilson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 1:30 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Fri, Oct 30, 1:34 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Fri, Oct 30, 1:34 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Young | Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 17.9 | 16.6 |
| Half PPR | 17.9 | 13.8 |
| Standard | 17.9 | 11 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 1.3 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Bryce Young plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Garrett Wilson's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.